Edwards wins for first time since 2005

Autoracing Betting Lines

06/17/2007 - Brooklyn, MI (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Breaking a 52-race winless streak, Carl Edwards captured Sunday's Citizens Bank 400 at the Michigan International Speedway. The No.99 Roush Fenway Racing Ford driver crossed the finish line more than three seconds ahead of Martin Truex Jr.

The victory was the fifth of Edwards' Nextel Cup career and the first since November 2005 at the Texas Motor Speedway.

"This is awesome, I'm just living the dream and having a blast," said Edwards.

First-time pole winner J.J. Yeley brought the field to the green flag for 200 laps of high-speed racing. But it was Jimmie Johnson who led the first lap. In fact, Yeley fell all the way to eighth place before he could get back into line.

Behind Johnson, Ryan Newman and new powerhouse Truex Jr. were taking up the chase. Truex Jr. passed Newman and on lap 10 went inside Johnson for his first lead of the race.

Newman fell further back with a flat left-rear tire on lap 14. It was not an easy change as rubber had wrapped itself around the axle. The No.12 Alltel Dodge returned to the track in 43rd place, three laps down to the leaders.

By lap 30, Truex Jr.'s lead over Johnson had ballooned to 3.070 seconds. Behind Johnson was an even bigger gap, it was more than six seconds to third- place Jeff Gordon.

Through a round of green-flag pit stops and Truex Jr., Johnson and Gordon were still one-two-three. The pace was fast and through 50 laps only 28 cars remained on the lead lap.

A first caution flag of the race on lap 53 sent everyone diving down pit lane. Truex Jr. came out first, but the big winner was Dale Earnhardt Jr., who used a two-tire change to grab second place from Johnson. Bill Elliott, who won the June race at MIS three straight years from 1985-1987, also used a two-tire stop to crack the top-10.

Johnson took four tires and after just three laps he moved around "Junior" for second place. He was flying and on lap 64 he went underneath Truex Jr. for the lead.

Juan Montoya brought out caution flag number two when he slammed the wall in turn two. Edwards, who was up to second place just before the caution, was penalized for speeding on pit road dropping him all the way back to 28th place.

Jeff Green and Newman brought out a third caution flag as the No.12 Dodge was sent flying across the infield. Truex Jr., Kenseth and Brian Vickers were sucked up in the accident and it sent the No.17 Roush Fenway Ford to the garage. Before today, Kenseth had completed every lap of every race in 2007.

Johnson and Gordon were now one-two and working together to pull away from third place Kurt Busch. They were two seconds up on the No.2 Dodge and five seconds up on Tony Stewart who had finally made his way into contention after starting 43rd.

Meanwhile, Edwards and Truex Jr. were working their way through the slower cars to get back into the race. By lap 90 they were 12th and 15th, respectively. Three laps later Edwards was in the top-10 again.

Johnson began to stretch out his lead, to one and-a-half seconds at the 100- lap mark. Five laps later it was 2.632 seconds as Gordon began to complain of a "tight" race car. Gordon suddenly began to drop, to fifth on lap 109. He pitted on the next lap, beginning a round of green-flag stops.

Near the end of the stops, Tony Raines spun to bring out a caution flag. Truex Jr., Earnhardt Jr. and Paul Menard, all DEI cars, were leading the race when the flag came out. They would pit and return to the track in ninth, 10th and 13th, respectively

Johnson was again the leader with Busch, Stewart and Edwards just behind. Edwards was still strong and by lap 124 had passed Stewart and Busch and he was just six-tenths behind the No.48 Chevy.

Three laps later he was on Johnson's rear bumper. Edwards tried a couple of times to pass Johnson, but each time he had to fall back into line. Finally, on lap 130, he got his man.

With clean air, Edwards showed off his power and built the lead to 2.021 second in just eight laps. With 55 laps to go the gap was up to 3.005 seconds over the new second-place driver - Truex Jr. Of course, Edwards had an 11- second lead in Saturday's Busch race and didn't win, so there was still a lot of work to do.

By lap 158, Truex Jr. closed onto Edwards' bumper. Edwards pitted while Truex Jr. continued on with the lead. Gordon, who had topped off before the last green flag restart stayed out as well.

Truex Jr. came in with 41 laps to go, could he make it all the way from here?

Gordon came in on the next lap and the question was the same for the No.24 Chevy.

Johnson was the new race leader, but he would likely need a "splash-and-go" unless there were some caution flag laps. Behind him were Edwards and Truex Jr. Gordon returned to the track in 13th.

Edwards was again on the move and caught Johnson on lap 164. He went to the high side and swept past Johnson with 35 laps to go. Thirty to go and the lead was 1.462 seconds on Johnson and 3.006 seconds on Truex Jr. Of the three, Truex Jr. was posting the fastest laps.

Truex Jr. got around Johnson with 26 to go as Johnson was in "fuel conservation" mode. His crew chief thought he was about two laps short of reaching the checkered flag.

The No.1 DEI Chevy was still on the move and it looked like only a matter of time before he caught Edwards. Twenty-two laps to go and the margin was just 0.556 seconds. He cut it two about four car lengths, but then his charge to the front seemed to stall.

Was he having a problem or just waiting to make his move?

Edwards was fighting back and built the lead to one second with 10 laps remaining.

Johnson coasted down pit lane with eight laps to go...out of fuel.

Edwards was now 2.775 seconds ahead of Truex Jr. with five laps to go and seemed resigned to second place unless the No.99 Ford ran out of fuel.

With the lead, Edwards could now coast in and out of the corners and he made it to the checkered flag for the victory.

Edwards celebrated with his traditional back flip and made the trip to Victory Lane.

Gordon finished ninth and his lead is 264 points over Denny Hamlin going to the next event at the Infineon Raceway on June 24th for the first road-course race of the year.

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Eastern Conference Playoff Betting Trends

We all know by now that the “public” loves to put their money on the FAVORITES and the OVERS.  Just by taking a quick glance at Sportsbook.com’s “Betting Trends” it appears as is this tendency will continue as far as the Eastern Conference games are concerned.  For the inaugural games of the first round, 69% of the early money is on Toronto -4.5; 59% of bettors prefer Chicago -4.5; 84% are backing Detroit -9; and 56% think Cleveland -11.5 is the way to go.  As far as TOTALS are concerned, the only UNDER the “public” is backing is the Cleveland/ Washington game in which 83% are pounding the UNDER (190).  Remember, there is no better way to predict a possible line change than by monitoring MySportsbook.com’s “Betting Trends”.   By determining who the “public” is backing, you can get the most ideal line for your bet.  For example, if you are siding with the public you better place your bet before the line moves in the wrong direction.  On the other side of the coin, if you prefer the team that the “public” is betting against; you might be able to get and extra ½ or even more by placing your bet a bit later.  Under the “Betting Trends” section, Sportsbook.com also provides plenty of statistical data and trends in order for the bettor to make the most informed pick.  Below are some extremely important trends for the first round opponents of the Eastern Conference match-ups, more can be found at MySportsbook.com

New Jersey Nets vs. Toronto Raptors

Toronto was the most reliable covering team this season with a 48-33-1 ATS record but covered the OVER only 41.5% of the time.
The last 20 times these teams have played, the TOTAL has gone UNDER 16 times.
Versus Eastern Conference teams, Toronto is 33-19 ATS including 17-9 at home.
 New Jersey has covered four games in a row while Toronto has failed to cover their last four games.
When playing a team with a winning record during the second half of the season, New Jersey was just 5-13 ATS this season.
After scoring 105 points or more, Toronto has covered the OVER only 28% of the time this season. 
 
Miami Heat @ Chicago Bulls

Miami has failed to cover their last 7 games whereas Chicago has covered 6 out of their last 8 games.
Miami has covered the UNDER in four of their last five games whereas Chicago has covered the UNDER in five out of their last six.
When playing on Saturdays, Miami covered 80% of their games this season.
Away from home, Chicago is just 16-25 ATS this season.
At home, Miami covered the UNDER about 66% of the time whereas Chicago covered the UNDER about 61% of the time.
The last 13 times these teams have played each other, Chicago has covered 9 times.
In Miami’s last 11 road games, the UNDER covered 9 times. 
 
Orlando Magic @ Detroit Pistons

Detroit has covered 5 out of their last 6 games.
Away from home, Detroit is 28-13 ATS but just 14-26-1 ATS at home.
At home, Orlando covered the UNDER 64% of the time while Detroit covered the UNDER in 63% of their away games.
The last five times these teams have played in Detroit, the OVER covered each time.
Versus Eastern Conference teams, Detroit is 8-17-1 ATS at home but 17-9 ATS away.
Detroit covered the spread 5 out of the last 6 times they played Orlando.
After a Division game, Orlando covered the UNDER 87% of the time this season. 
 
Washington Wizards @ Cleveland Cavaliers

In a home game where the TOTAL is between 190 and 194.5 points, Cleveland is 9-1 ATS this season.
Washington has covered the UNDER in their last 6 games and in 8 of their last 9 games.
The last 6 times these teams have played each other, the UNDER covered each time.
When playing on 3 or more days of rest, Washington is just 18-37 ATS since 1996.
Since 1996, Washington is 28-16 ATS versus Cleveland including 11-5 over the last 3 seasons.
In their last 7 road games, Washington is 6-1 ATS.
Versus Eastern Conference teams at home, Washington is just 6-18-2 ATS. 
 
For even more betting trends for not just the NBA but for all of the major sports, log on to Sportsbook.com and click on “Trends”.  With only two months left in the NBA betting season it is important to be as well informed as possible in order to maximize your profit.  Also for all of you poker players, check out MySportsbook.com’s “WSOP Low Bid Auction”. You could be on your way to Vegas to play against the world’s best poker players for under a buck.

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